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Posted by John Culea on 12/13/2011

When it comes to real-life investing and Fantasy Soccer, heed the following warning: Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Here is a Baker’s Dozen EPL players who have failed to deliver fantasy points based on their past success:

Goalkeeper:
Petr Cech, Chelsea
48 points—6.7 million salary
Games: 13, Saves: 22, Clean Sheets: 4
So far Cech has been a decent fantasy goalkeeper this season; however, he is about 15-25 points below most other starters and nowhere near Michel Vorm of Swansea City who has 82 points and a salary of 6.3 million.

Defenders:
Seamus Coleman, Everton
31 points—6 million salary
Games: 12, Clean Sheets: 1, Goals: 0, Assists: 0
While Coleman is listed as a midfielder on the Everton team website, the suits who run the Fantasy game list him as a defender, which was the case last season. Last year fantasy managers were able to get defender points from a player who operated as a midfielder. Unfortunately, Coleman’s point producing this season has dropped significantly.

Gary Cahill, Bolton
38 points—4.9 million salary
Games: 14, Clean sheets: 2, Goals: 1, Assists: 1
Cahill must have a good agent because few players have been linked to moves to bigger teams more than the Bolton defender. Is he really that good? So far his fantasy production is not much better than his team’s disastrous performance through 15 games.

David Luiz, Chelsea
19 points--8 million salary
Games: 5, Clean sheets 2, Goals 0, Assists 1
While his appearances have been limited, the nonchalant, laissez faire Luiz is a Yellow Card with legs and is one of the most overrated defenders in the league. The pricey defender became an overnight hero at Stamford Bridge but has not lived up to his early success.

Midfielders:
Dirk Kuyt, Liverpool
32 points—6.1 million salary
Games: 13, Goals: 0, Assists: 1
Once one of the most reliable fantasy point-producers, the hard working, likable Dutchie cannot find the net or deliver the goods to his teammates.

Tim Cahill, Everton
38 points—5.9 million salary
Games: 13, Goals: 0, Assists: 2
The illustrated Aussie was always good for multiple points. So far, Cahill is a step behind and a several feet off target on his 22 shots. Cahill had nine Premier goals last season but shows no signs of being able to celebrate by punching the corner flags.

Charles N’Zogbia, Aston Villa
39 points—5.8 million salary
Games: 13, Goals: 0, Assists: 1
The former Wigan star has flamed out at Villa. Last season he had nine Premier goals and delivered big time rewards to fantasy managers. So far, N’Zogbia is N’Zero.

Florent Malouda, Chelsea
30 points—6.9 million salary
Games: 11, Goals: 1, Assists: 2
Once a top-three fantasy point producer, the Frenchman is now out of AVB’s starting mix and appears ready to be a January transfer target.

Scott Parker, Tottenham
39 points—6.1 million salary
Games: 13, Goals: 0, Assists: 1
The hard working Parker had five goals last season for relegated West Ham, but having taken only 11 shots in 13 games for Spurs, so far Parker is a fantasy fizzle.

Strikers:
Didier Drogba, Chelsea
32 points—7.8 million salary
Games: 11, Goals: 2, Assists: 1
Once the beast in the Chelsea attack, Drogba has been kept in check and while there are flashes of prior form, he looks to be on the backside of his career. In 2009-2010, the Ivorian had 29 goals. In 2010-2011 he had 11. With a trip to Africa in January, 2011-2012, Drogba is not a good fantasy investment anymore.

Andrew Carroll, Liverpool
34 points—5.6 million salary
Games: 13, Goals: 2, Assists: 0
Carroll has been unable to transfer the notoriety of a 35 million pound transfer fee into goals. He will be hard-pressed to duplicate his 13 Premier goals last season.

Fernando Torres, Chelsea
28 points—6.7 million
Games: 11, Goals 2, Assists: 1
The Spaniard with the 50 million pound transfer price tag has reverted to blonde hair; but alas his productivity remains bland. He is a shadow of the lethal striker who notched 24 goals in 2007-2008. When Drogba heads south for the month of January, Torres will probably be teamed with Sturridge.

Dimitar Berbatov, Manchester United
7 points—6.8 million salary
Games: 5, Goals: 0, Assists: 0
The Bulgarian who had 20 goals last season has languished on SAF’s bench and when called upon has taken only three shots. To the player’s credit, he has handled this with class, but class doesn’t count when fantasy points are totaled.

Finally, here are players who once had big fantasy point years, but their lack of productivity is the result of injuries:
Gerrard, Liverpool
Vidic, Manchester United
Gallas, Tottenham
Nelsen, Blackburn
Essien, Chelsea
Wilshere, Arsenal
Diaby, Arsenal

And one more category featuring a loose canon, a once prolific goal scorer and fantasy point leader. Ladies and gentlemen, the one and thankfully, the only: Carlos Tevez, Manchester City
2 points—7.5 million salary
Games: 3, Goals: 0, Assists: 0
In 2009-2010 Carlito had 23 goals and in 2010-2011 he notched 20. He is now the quintessential spoiled millionaire footballer who became an outcast and persona non grata at City following his infamous snit. Millions of people who love the beautiful game would give anything to have his talent and opportunity, but in Tevez’s case, having it all is never enough.

Comments

Posted by Dan on 12/13/2011

Boy you sure nailed this one! I would also warn folks away from any Man Utd players because of SAF's rotation policy, which is fair enough for managing a real EPL team but truly sucks for us fantasy managers. Of course, some of those players will score more points playing less games than other more dependable starters. As a side note...do you think Andy Carroll's love of a pint might be hindering him?

Comment:
Good observation on Man Utd; however, the rotation will not be as severe since they crashed out of the Champions League.
As for Andy Carroll's extracurricular activities--I hope Kenny D and staff keep him away from excessive suds and sauce and that he has better control of his personal life then when he was playing in the city with the great beer name. I think it may be more that his style of play does not fit with Suerez. Carroll is terribly slow.

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About
John Culea John Culea is an American living in San Diego who became hooked on football while serving in the Navy for two years in London. A former TV news Emmy award-winning anchor/reporter, John manages the Premier Fantasy league MCMUARTN and goes by the Fantasy honorary title of "Sir John". John is a devoted Chelsea supporter and offers candid, often off-beat commentaries on the Premier League from an American perspective. He invites open discussion on his blog and can be contacted at sirjohnfantasy@gmail.com.

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