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Posted by John Culea on 08/24/2011

Hello lads and lassies,
You will notice the redesigned Premier Fantasy game has more frequent player salary/value adjustments based on their performance, suspension or injury status than last season.

This means your team’s value is going to change much more than last season when not too many salary adjustments were made.

So, having looked over some players whose salaries have either gone up or down, Sir John offers several players who may be excellent buys or cautions you about others whose production or playing time does not justify the money they represent on your roster or should be considered before transferring them in or out.

These observations are made with an understanding that only two weeks in the season have passed; however, in Fantasy competition, if you fall too far behind the leaders in your league or you hope to stay in the top of your group, you need to constantly evaluate your 15 players. Remember, the season is split in half and you have 20 transfers to use in each segment (you cannot carry over unused transfers to the second segment). In seasons past you had to ration 30 transfers from August to May.

The strikers seem to have more players that make for talking points. The following list gives the player, his revised salary, the salary change, and how many fantasy points he has through Week 2.

1. Drogba, 8.1 million, down .4, two points scored.
2. Berbatov, 7.9 million, down .4, one point scored.
3. Long, 5.9 million, up .4, 14 points scored.
4. Anelka, 6.5 million, down .3, eight points scored.
5. Bent, 7.7 million, down .1, 13 points scored.
6. Aguero, 8.1 million, up .4, 15 points scored.
7. Torres, 8 million, unchanged, six points scored.
8. Balotelli, 7.2 million, unchanged, zero points scored.
9. Carroll, 7 million, unchanged, five points scored.
10. Rooney, 8.6 million, up .3, 14 points scored
11. Klasnic, 5.4 million, up .4, 17 points scored
12. Tevez, 8.7 million, unchanged, one point scored

It remains to be seen if Drogba’s role will expand under A V-B, but right now, the Ivorian has not started in the first two matches and his production does not justify his salary. The same for Berbatov and especially true for head case Balotelli.
Torres was not very impressive against WBA, so his salary is bloated for what he is producing. If Anelka is going to continue starting, he seems an attractive buy as is Bent who is a constant point-getter. Ivan Klasnic and Shane Long may be the best bargains among strikers with defender-like salaries and the most points among forwards.
The jury is still out on Andy Carroll as Liverpool seems to be better with Suerez on the pitch. Even up by 400,000, Aguero is still a good investment. As for Rooney if he is your captain he is on pace to score 266 points. That won’t happen but it’s nice to fantasize.
Carlito’s situation is as unsettled as his feelings are about living in Manchester. One point from the highest paid fantasy player is not exactly a great return on a powder blue chip investment.

Midfielders:
1. Kuyt, 8.2 million, down .4, four points scored
2. Gervinho, 6.7 million, down .4, zero points scored
3. Adam, 6 million, up .3, nine points scored
4. Silva, 7.4 million, up .4, 19 points scored
5. Jarvis, 5.9 million, up .4, 16 points scored
6. Ashley Young, 7.3 million, up .2, nine points scored

Among midfielders, Kuyt found his way back in the starting XI in Week 2, but Kenny Dalglish’s rotation is unpredictable and so far, Kuyt, the likable Dutchie, has not posted the points necessary for his salary, even with it being cut by 400,000.
Gervinho may be a bargain with his value dropped after he lost his cool when confronted by the serial instigator from Newcastle, but he is out for two more matches and part of a team that is a mess.
Charlie Adam is a favorite of his fellow Scottish manager and even with a .3 bump in salary is a good purchase.
Silva’s value is zooming and he has had excellent points the first two weeks while Jarvis is a bargain acquisition.
Ashley Young so far is the one transfer who has fit in best with his new team and looks ready to score many points on goals and assists.

Defenders:
1. Vidic, 8.1 million, down .4, one point scored
2. Terry, 8.6 million, up .1, eight points scored
3. Huth, 5.6 million, up .3, nine points scored
4. Lescott, 6.5 million, up .2, eight points scored

In the defenders discussion, Sir John did not have Vidic last season and regretted it. So Sir John brought in the Man Yoo stalwart and he immediately went down with a serious injury. Unfortunately, in transferring him out, Sir John did what he has often done in real life investments and that is buy high and sell low.
John Terry is now the highest priced defender and Sir John cannot see his point potential ever justifying a Wayne Rooney-like salary.
Robert Huth, who had a big fantasy season last year, still is a bargain while Lescott is being priced out of his value.

Goalkeepers:
1. Given, 6.5 million, up .3, ten points scored
2. DeGea, 8.2 million, down .3, nine points scored
3. Szczesny, 7.9 million, down .1, eight points scored
4. Vorm, 4.8 million, up .2, 17 points scored
5. Foster, 5.1 million, down .4, six points scored
6. Hart, 8.5 million, unchanged, nine points scored

The surprise bargain goalkeeper of the season so far is Michel Vorm of Swansea who is playing like the Terminator and has more points than any player guarding an onion bag. With his incredible number of saves including a penalty denial, you could call the man from Holland the "Turn-away-tor".

I'll return from time to time with updates on this.
Until then I remain,
Yours faithfully,
Sir John


Comments

Posted by Royce on 08/25/2011

Sir John,

On the topic of goalkeepers, what's your general fantasy strategy? Do you splurge for a pricey keeper on a top team such as Hart or De Gea, or do you prefer to go with more of a bargain keeper from a mid-level team (Given and Vorm seem to fit the bill, currently)?

Are extra fantasy dollars spent on keepers worth the supposed extra production, or are you better off allocating that extra $3 or so towards attacking players? Thanks!

Hi Royce,
Last season I had Hart and he was very good for me. As you know, his price went up dramatically this season but I still have him. My second GK is the guy for QPR but I doubt he will see any action, so I think you do better with a guy who will start, but is cheap. It's not likely Hart will miss many or any matches.
Right now, frankly DeGea scares me. He had nine saves and a clean sheet last week, but in my opinion his clean sheet was a bit soiled. He also is pretty expensive.
Based on the first two matches Vorm is a good choice; however, he may feel like a punching bag pretty soon.
I think Shay Given will do well for you (you'll like a piece I have planned for next week that includes Given). Both Vorm and Given are low-priced.
I would put all the money you can in midfielders and strikers. Even with defenders not docked a point on the first goal, clean sheets are now down to three points, so defenders will not make dramatic differences for you.
Good luck my footie friend.
Sir John

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About
John Culea John Culea is an American living in San Diego who became hooked on football while serving in the Navy for two years in London. A former TV news Emmy award-winning anchor/reporter, John manages the Premier Fantasy league MCMUARTN and goes by the Fantasy honorary title of "Sir John". John is a devoted Chelsea supporter and offers candid, often off-beat commentaries on the Premier League from an American perspective. He invites open discussion on his blog and can be contacted at sirjohnfantasy@gmail.com.

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