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Posted by Wallace Poulter on 11/26/2010

One of the problems of writing a regular column or blog is when current events are essentially a regurgitation of previous ones. We've seen this now for over a month with the stories about players wanting to leave and the pressure on Mancini regarding tactics and results. Let's see if I can put both to bed for good.

This week saw Emmanuel Adebayor become the latest player to be linked with a move away. Really this is just a case of different week, same story. One of the stars at City, this time Adebayor, is said to be leaving in January because of a lack of playing time. So far I think we've seen Shay Given, Joleon Lescott, Wayne Bridge, Adam Johnson, SWP, Roque Santa Cruz and now Adebayor be run through this same exact story.

There's a validity to some of the speculation as players want to play. City have an unbalanced squad. Too many good players of equal ability equal playing time issues. I expect Johnson to stay and the rest to go over the next 8 months or so, even Lescott who appears to be coming more established in the England squad. Now who can afford such players, given the wages they are on, will be interesting. Will City have to make a pay off to the players for the reduction in their wages? While never specifically addressed that did seem to be part of the Stephen Ireland saga.

City have a core group. Hart, Kolarov, Boateng, Kompany, Kolo Toure, Zabaleta, Barry, de Jong, Yaya Toure, Silva, Johnson, Milner, Tevez and Balotelli. That's it. Everyone else is expendable and ultimately I see Kolo Toure and Barry to leave within two years as well. City will bring in the occasional veteran to supplement those who know their role and then the focus will be on acquiring talented youngsters who can make the grade long term. Theo Walcott and Gareth Bale when at Southampton, will be the type of players City will target. Good, potentially great youngsters that can grow with the club.

Given the above you'll see stories about any player not on that list, Micah Richards for example, who will be said to be looking to leave if they don't get more playing time.

Meanwhile City apparently are a crisis club while sitting in fourth place in the league. Please! The mainstream media seems so desperate to manufacturer some kind of crisis at City that those pesky little things like logic and facts get pushed aside. Certainly this seems to be an almost standard operating procedure of the gutter press, it seems every month there is the story of yet another national paper paying out damages for libel to some individual, but to see such City stories in outlets of shall we say more reputable journalism is disappointing.

If the League Cup team selection and safety first tactics haven't made it already clear to the media let me spell it out as plainly as I can. City are focused solely on reaching the Champions League. In a choice between a possible win against United or a more certain draw, Mancini is going to take the point. Whether the City boss has been told straight that he must qualify for the Champions League or face the chop I couldn't say, but any reasonable evaluation of everything so far this season says that is the case.

I do feel sometimes that I have gone on about tactics until I'm blue in the face. Better than the alternative of course.

There are essentially five possible formations that Mancini could employ. These are dependent on the opponents and the players available. The 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 are too adventurous (for now) or limiting and the 4-4-2 doesn't provide enough cover in front of the back four nor the necessary midfield steel and guile. That leaves the Inter diamond or the Christmas tree of 4-3-2-1.

In a perfect world, when all players are fit, then City play an Inter diamond with Tevez and Balotelli up front with Silva the creative force at the head of the diamond in an attacking central midfield (AMC) role. In this case, as good as Johnson and Milner are, they start on the bench.

Now for whatever reason whether injury, fitness or tactics Mancini has not played Adebayor up front with Tevez, the two up front that the fans have clamored for. As discussed in previous columns from a tactical standpoint I can see this decision having been made because City didn't have the full backs, Boateng and Kolarov, fully fit to play the Inter diamond correctly. Without Boateng and Kolarov filling the spaces on the flanks in attack and defense you play one up front, and position players out on the flanks (the 2 of the 4-3-2-1) forcing the opposition to play into the middle of the field where City maintain an advantage with Barry, de Jong and Small Berries. In this formation you see Milner play while Silva and Johnson vie for playing time.

Johnson in particular isn't the type of player to excel in either formation. He's a traditional winger in a 4-4-2 or a speedy counter attacker in the 4-2-3-1 style that had success at the end of last year. But a counter attack strategy, while devastating against Chelsea away last season for example, doesn't work unless the opposition wants to bring it with full force, as Chelsea did.

So to the many of you the ask, why isn't Johnson playing, the answer is fairly straight forward. City are not playing a formation in which he will play well.

The bottom line is simple. Mancini has not I believe been able to play his preferred starting eleven even once this season. Further the former Inter boss has only deployed the Inter diamond twice. Yet the club is in 4th place and in position to qualify for the Champions League. Crisis? Mancini should be winning Manager of the Month awards for keeping the club in contention without even being close to deploying his optimum team and strategy week in and week out.

Would I have preferred to see a win over United? Of course. But Mancini has a plan and at the moment that has the club on course to achieve the only thing that currently matters, qualification for the Champions League.

Comments

Posted by Dajd1984 on 11/26/2010

Eventually, someone who understands the tactics and positional nuances of city on the premiership 2010! This article was a breath of fresh air, even if I didn't agree with everything written.

Posted by Jem on 11/26/2010

What happens if we qualify for champions league? Will he still persist in using these great players so negatively or will he have the balls to let them off the lease and do what they do best, win things.

Wallace Reply I think you'll see Mancini buy so that he can play the Inter diamond the majority of the time. With the right players it's a pretty dominating formation, even free flowing - but that depends on the support of the full backs to allow easy outlet passes from midfield.

Posted by roger haigh on 11/26/2010

good article Wallace. it's a nice change to read a balanced view of whats going on at the academy. Try posting something like this on the M(u)EN website and see what the foamers have to say!

Posted by bluevalentine on 11/26/2010

Wallace, I've had issues with your stuff in the past but this is a really sound article.
We may see Scarf Ace's preferred team tomorrow now Balotelli is back. Selection of Johnson doesn't make sense unless we have either (a) a fit and functioning Adebayor or (b) two guys coming into the box when Jonners gets to the byeline, one of them a decoy runner. Furthermore success depends on Jonners tackling back, something he's proved unwilling to do - contrast Silva lst week who got through a lot of defensive work on the right.
And, as you so rightly say,the fullbacks are key to the whole scenario.

Posted by STEVE HAVENS on 11/27/2010

Wallace,
The Inter diamond formation that Mancini has employed, worked very effectively against Fulham because City were able to gain control of the midfield.
This was not the case against Man Utd.Mancini's conservative tactics,and his lack of a plan B, caused them to be pressed back in their own half for much of the game, with Tevez receiving little or no service. This was also the case in the home match against Birmingham.The solution? change tactics as the game dictates, which unfortunately Mancini doesn't.

Posted by HeavyRiffs on 11/27/2010

Initially, saw the headline and thought the worst, more City slating and more anti City media bias.
Read the piece and was pleasantly surprised, agree with the majority of what's been said.
In Bobby we trust...

Posted by Harsh on 11/27/2010

Well,you have explained city's tactics very well.But,i feel, city can be adventurous against lower teams especially when at home.Afterall,they do have very good attacking players.But,i agree with you that against big teams, mancini would prefer to pick a point rather than nothing at all,atleast dis season.

Posted by harry on 11/28/2010

PLEASE, play richards as a stiker, he is big, fast,and fearless. Dont be afraid to use players out of their positions, remember, a faint heart never won a fair lady. Shake up the league by playing attacking football.

Wallace Reply I'd actually like to see Viera and Small Berries take him under their wing and teach him their role as box to box midfielders. This was an idea mentioned some years ago when Richards burst onto the scene and It's not a bad one.

Posted by Mick on 11/29/2010

Wallace,
I agree with all the future personnel changes you identified. However I am seriously concerned we will not achieve our goal of Champions League qualification this season. We have had lucky ref decisions to give us wins against Blackpool and Newcastle. However the main problem will be Spurs have a better squad and manager than us and unless we acquire more creative talent in the January window we will fall short again. Harry Rednap has also called for more investment in Jan for them to challenge for the title. Imagine how weak we would be Tevez/Silva got injured? It would be a tough enough task if everyone was fully fit. We have come a long way but I fear we will fall short again.

Wallace Reply Exactly why I picked City outside the top 4 in my season preview. I'm delighted Mancini has the club where they are. Spurs and a lurking Liverpool worry me...

Posted by Evan Georgiou on 12/03/2010

Excellent review-what I would add however is that under Mancini we have bought well,and after he has cleared the players who clearly want or need to be out(RSC/Adebayor/Bridge/Etuhu/Logan/Caceido/Bellamy/Given/Lescott/Jo)then he will buy another two strikers and possibly a young keeper(if Shay has to go) the compexion changes dramatically especially as the defenders and midfield continue to improve.

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About
Wallace Poulter Wallace Poulter is an award winning video game producer, designer, industry consultant and writer. He has been a football fanatic since the day he moved in next door to Brian Clough. "Cloughie" being the acknowledged genius that he was promptly moved out and went to manage Derby. A serviceable senior school left-back in his youth, Poulter played one season of Sunday league football as a striker proving conclusively that he was a serviceable senior school left-back! Today Poulter remains involved with football as a licensed referee and most recently as a consultant on a Football MMO.

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