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Manchester City
Posted by Wallace Poulter on 08/15/2009

Another Premier League season is upon us. This season is shaping up to be quite fascinating.

The Big Four - Arsenal, Chelsea, Manchester United, Liverpool

Arsenal
It will be held against me if it doesn't come to pass, but my surprise pick for the title is Arsenal. Arsene Wenger has spent the past couple of years blooding the most impressive bunch of youngsters in recent memory. However the crucial addition didn't happen this transfer window, but instead was the capture of Zenit St. Petersburg's Andrei Arshavin this past January. Kolo Toure was quoted earlier in the month that Arsenal lack leaders and he was right these past few seasons. But not any more. The Russian forward is going to lead by example and become a true icon of the Gunners. Notwithstanding Fabio Capello's fairly idiotic statement that Jack Wilshere could go to the World Cup, England have more than enough midfielders it is the striking options that should be of concern, the Arsenal youngster should have a breakout season. Experience plus addition by subtraction and the loses of their challengers equals an opportunity.

Chelsea
If it was anyone other than Carlo Ancelotti I'd consider dropping Chelsea lower than 2nd on my list. But success with an ageing team was the Italian's strength at AC Milan and this Blues team has one more run in them before they need to seriously reload. The strength of the team remains its centre spine with John Terry and, the Chelsea player City should have signed, Ricardo Carvalho in the middle of the defense backed up by an improving Alex. Frank Lampard reigns supreme once more in midfield while Didier Drogba and Nicolas Anelka are if anything an under appreciated pair. The ultimate return of Joe Cole will add the dimension that Chelsea missed last year. Michael Ballack remains a thug and the club would do well to offload the German in the January transfer window. Quite capable of winning the league or finishing fifth I instead peg them in second.

Manchester United
If any team can take the hit of losing Ronaldo and Carlos Tevez it is the squad that Ferguson has built at United. Michael Owen and Antonio Valencia are very good pick ups and the youngsters coming through are exceptional. Nani and to a lesser extent Anderson may not have been the pick ups that the team expected, but this is a team built to campaign for four trophies every year. However that little extra piece of quality that you need to win the Premier League is gone at least for now.

I suspect that United will be back to the top next year, but this year a post Ronaldo dip seems inevitable. Curiously I see them more likely to win the Champions League than the Premier League if Owen Hargreaves returns healthy in December.

Liverpool
After last year Liverpool were and still are in some corners, the trendy pick to win it all. Not so fast. Xabi Alonso has left, proof if any was required that the ego of Benitez out strips his ability and there's no cover if Fernando Torres is injured. Add an unsettled Javier Mascherano and this is a recipe for disaster. I wonder who Rafa will blame this time for his failures? That Glen Johnson is the England Right Back speaks more about the paucity of the position and how much Micah Rchards has regressed rather than the former Pompey man's ability. Throw in a still injured Alberto Aquilani for Alonso and it is Liverpool not Arsenal who are the prime candidate to fall out of the top four.

The Second Four - Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester City, Everton, Aston Villa

Tottenham
It's now happened multiple years in a row. Spurs struggle terribly at the beginning of the year only to storm back by the end of the year. If Tottenham ever get their act together in the first 3 months of the season they could be seriously dangerous. Harry Redknapp has been quoted as saying he is after 4th this year, I think 'Arry gets it right this year and it is Spurs that City are chasing for 5th not Villa or Everton. Peter Crouch and Jermain Defoe, both of whom should be going to South Africa for the World Cup, are reunited and if Redknapp can figure out how to also play Robbie Keane that's a fairly lethal forward line. Defense always remains an issue and it is the constant injuries that will hamper any Spurs challenge for the top four.

Manchester City
Sixth the Chairman said and sixth seems a pretty good place to me. I've seen the pundits talk about Champions League football for next year and it just seems silly. While each of Big Four have their weaknesses this year, winning is something that is learnt as a team. City are a year away from challenging for anything in the league and the best that can be hoped for is a good Cup run. The club has added excellent talent. We can quibble here and there, but the squad is being built. The lack of European football is in fact a benefit for the team although hopefully we'll never have to say that again.

Everton and Aston Villa
Fans of Everton and Villa will think I'm on something but I see both clubs struggling this year. A relative term as I expect them to finish in 7th and 8th, but at some point Everton's small squad has to catch up with David Moyes and the poaching of Gareth Barry is going to give Villa a one year hang over. Both will be back the following season when you could realistically have nine clubs in an all mighty tussle.

Martin O'Neill has built a very nice squad. It lacks the pure quality of Manchester United but the depth is good. Watch the January transfer window carefully. If O'Neill can snag a couple of high quality players, such as Bolton's Fabrice Muamba, then Villa may be the surprise of 2010-11.


Plus One - West Ham

West Ham
Gianfranco Zola is building a quality set up at Upton Park. Give him another year or so and I can see the Hammers starting to nibble at the heels of the top 5 and certainly be in the Europe mix. Probably the biggest surprise is the lack of an influx of Italians into the squad although Zola used those contacts to bring in Chilean international Luis Jimenez in on loan and the midfielder strikes me as one of the most astute pick ups of this transfer window. If anyone crashes the top 8 this year it's West Ham.


The Surprise Package - Sunderland

Sunderland
If the acquisition of Gareth Barry is the most important pick up of the transfer window then Lorik Cana the former Marseilles captain is number two and no surprise that new Sunderland boss Steve Bruce has installed the Albanian national captain as the Black Cats team leader. With Cana leading the team from midfield it will be fellow new signee Paulo da Silva who will lead the defense. The Paraguayan would also have been a candidate to lead the team. Up front Frazier Campbell and Darren Bent join the previous incumbents Kenwyne Jones and David Healy. Lee Cattermole also joins and in Kieran Richardson Sunderland have a high quality player. The team is probably one more defender away from completion, but this is a very under rated squad and has the strong potential to surprise.

Who Knows - Fulham, Blackburn, Bolton, Stoke

Fulham
Fulham boss Roy Hodgson, my manager of the year last season, has a thin squad that seriously over achieved last year. Add in the extra European fixtures and that's a recipe for a struggle at best and relegation at worst. Those at the Cottage should pray for a quick cup of tea in Europe with their exit allowing the team to focus on the league. US national player Clint Dempsey may well have been the player in the Premier League who most improved from the previous season but is played out of position in midfield. Dempsey plays forward for the US team and was a big part of their surprising summer success.

Blackburn
Big Sam has a job to do at Blackburn. He's made some strange decision, the offloading of Derbyshire in particular caught my attention and I keep expecting City to snag Christopher Samba at some point, possibly in the January transfer window, That being said Allardyce has excellent connections and an ability to unearth talent. Croatian striker Nikola Kalinic, who according to reports will miss the opener against City, looks particularly useful.

Bolton and Stoke
Bolton has Gary Megson which really should be all you need to know. The arrival of South Korean Lee Chung-Yong is of particular interest and strikes me as a bargain more in keeping with the Allardyce era in Horwich. Along with Stoke, Bolton has the most chance to fall back into a relegation battle. Tony Pulis performed miracles in the potteries last year. Alas there's a history of a newly promoted team doing well one year and then struggling the second year and Stoke fits that mold not least because of the lack of serious reinforcements in the transfer window. Stoke will benefit from a full season of striker James Beattie, however I believe it unlikely that Stoke will finish as high as last year.


The New Boys - Birmingham, Wolves, Burnley

Wolves and Birmingham
Could this be the second time in Premier League history that all three promoted teams stay up? Wolves and Birmingham are making concerted moves in the transfer market; Red Star Belgrade's Nenad Milijas a goal scoring midfielder and Reading's Kevin Doyle are welcome additions at Molineux while the arrival of Ecuadorian striker Christian Benitez gives Brum manager Alex McLeish the chance to show that he's as good as Steve Bruce in finding South American gems. However the arrival of Scot Barry Ferguson from Rangers may turn out to be the most crucial move of the year.

Burnley
Owen Coyle the Burnley manager is one of the up and comers. Can he pull a Reading, Wigan or Stoke and somehow keep The Clarets in the top flight their first season? Former Newcastle defender David Edgar was a smart piece of business as is the pick up of former Manchester United youngster Richard Eckersley. We've seen good young managers come up with poor teams and ultimately lose there jobs and there is more than a whiff of that scenario associated with the team from Turf Moor.

It would take a miracle for all three to stay up, but this season maybe miracles are the name of the game.


The Relegation Contenders - Portsmouth, Hull, Wigan

Hull
Hull are toast. A stone cold certainty to go down. Phil Brown can ruminate all he wants but the infamous Eastlands on pitch rant lost his team based on the complete collapse of the team from that moment on and it would also appear the interest of many professionals that could have become available. I was very surprised that Stephen Hunt left Reading for Hull City and the arrival of Jozy Altidore on loan from Villarreal seems a bit of a stretch. If as anticipated Everton come in for Michael Turner then I'm pretty confident that Hull will prop up the League for the entire year.

Wigan
Over at Wigan Roberto Martinez is potentially a good coach, but when the Chairman says when you sign that you are the coach even if the club goes down then the writing is on the wall before the season starts. Now that being said, Martinez is not surprisingly mining his Spanish connections and the club is starting to be connected with interesting prospects. If the right players arrive either before the end of August or in the January transfer window, then I can see Wigan just pulling off an escape.

Portsmouth
Lastly at Portsmouth the ownership saga continues. The club would appear to potentially in the pipeline have some money but it's been one way traffic with their best players leaving. I'm surprised that one of the other clubs that are realistically in the bottom half of the table, Stoke for example, hasn't targeted David James with a big money move. Removing James from Portsmouth would hasten the inevitable demise of the club into the Championship


And there's my Season Preview. I don't believe the Big Four change this year but it becomes a much tighter race at the top and between fourth and the chasing pack. When it comes to the rest of the division positions eleventh through seventeenth are the hardest to figure. You can throw enough data and hypothesis regarding any of those clubs to "prove" why they should be in the relegation zone.

Predicted Finish Premier League

1. Arsenal
2. Chelsea
3. Manchester United
4. Liverpool
5. Spurs
6. Manchester City
7. Aston Villa
8. Everton
9. West Ham
10. Sunderland
11. Blackburn
12. Wolves
13. Fulham
14. Birmingham
15. Stoke
16. Bolton
17. Burnley
18. Wigan
19. Portsmouth
20. Hull

Comments

Posted by Jon on 08/15/2009

Looking like a genius pick for Arsenal after day one. They demolished Everton, and really never had to work all that hard after the first goal. Good result for City today! Ireland's goal was an audacious gem, and I'm happy Ade got on the scoresheet as well. Hopefully this is the start of our highest ever prem finish!

Wallace Reply lol, sure but it's a long season. City's win was in many ways more important I think as getting Adebayor off and running is crucial and Blackburn have always struck me as a difficult place to win.

Posted by Daniel on 08/16/2009

Picking Spurs for 5th and not City seems to be playing it a little too safe, especially when the first 3 Tottenham center-backs will miss the start of the season. I expect a fifth place finish this year, but I'm seriously hoping to displace one of the top four. It's not entirely impossible, and even if it were, I'd still be hoping for it. City to finish fourth!

Wallace Reply I think you will see Spurs jump into the market very quickly for a couple of centre backs.

Posted by Stan on 08/16/2009

Yes, it's an impressive win by City at a historically difficult place for them to play well.

Good start for a squad that has seen so much turnover.

Posted by Wei Yang on 08/16/2009

Impressive starts by City and Arsenal!Probably a tight race in Premier Leauge this year.It is diffcult to predict!I can see at least 6 teams challengeing the title.Wigan may outstand Everton and Aston Villa.

Posted by Stan on 08/16/2009

Just out of curiosity, when was the last time a full slate of Premier League matches was played and not one draw happened?

Wallace Reply Weekend of September 27th 2008

Posted by Justin on 08/17/2009

Wallace-

Excellent look especially in mid table. Everton and Aston Villa both proved why they will strugle, Tottenham and Man City both proved why they are contenders. Wigan was a complete suprise to me and probably the rest of the world, especially away to Villa. Liverpool looks shaky, and showed how bad they can be with an injury or two when both center backs were dinged up.

Posted by Daniel on 08/18/2009

Given everyone being healthy...what starting 11 would you pick for city?

Wallace Reply Good Question. And it really depends on what formation the team would play.

Given in goal obviously. A Back Four of Zabaleta, Toure, Kompany and Bridge.

Then it gets tricky. In a 4-3-3 I'd have Barry, de Jong and Ireland with Robinho, RSC and Tevez up front.

In a 4-2-3-1 I'd prefer Barry and Ireland with Petrov and SWP on the wings, Robinho as the AMC and RSC.

In a 4-4-2 Petrov, Barry, Ireland and SWP with RSC and Tevez up front.

Posted by Syed Feisal on 08/18/2009

Its well within Moyes right to hold on Lescott, but can you blame lescott wanting to move to a club with brighter future not to mention the improved salary and the fact he lives near Manchester. He must also consider the state of mind Lescott will be in if he is still adamant in retaining his services. Would Moyes move if he was offered triple his salary to a big club and with limitless budget to purchase players? You bet he would. As it is there is rumours that he is tipped to take over Alex Ferguson's seat as early as next season. So do not talk about loyalty to a club.

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About
Wallace Poulter Wallace Poulter is an award winning video game producer, designer, industry consultant and writer. He has been a football fanatic since the day he moved in next door to Brian Clough. "Cloughie" being the acknowledged genius that he was promptly moved out and went to manage Derby. A serviceable senior school left-back in his youth, Poulter played one season of Sunday league football as a striker proving conclusively that he was a serviceable senior school left-back! Today Poulter remains involved with football as a licensed referee and most recently as a consultant on a Football MMO.

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